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Genoa L ( a i , d i , h ; i = 1 , . . C ) = − log ∏ n = 1 N λ n x n exp ( − λ n ) x n ! μ n y n exp ( − μ n ) y n ! = − ∑ n = 1 N log ( λ n x n exp ( − λ n ) x n ! μ n y n exp ( − μ n ) y n ! ) = ∑ n = 1 N λ n + ∑ n = 1 N μ n − ( ∑ n = 1 N x n log ( λ n ) ) − ( ∑ n = 1 N y n log ( μ n ) ) + ∑ n = 1 N log ( x n ! ) + ∑ n = 1 N log ( y n ! ) {\displaystyle {\begin{aligned}&L(a_{i},d_{i},h;\ i=1,..C)=-\log \prod \limits _{n=1}^{N}{{\frac {\lambda _{n}^{x_{n}}\exp(-\lambda _{n})}{x_{n}!}}{\frac {\mu _{n}^{y_{n}}\exp(-\mu _{n})}{y_{n}!}}}\\&=-\sum \limits _{n=1}^{N}{\log \left({\frac {\lambda _{n}^{x_{n}}\exp(-\lambda _{n})}{x_{n}!}}{\frac {\mu _{n}^{y_{n}}\exp(-\mu _{n})}{y_{n}!}}\right)}\\&=\sum \limits _{n=1}^{N}{\lambda _{n}}+\sum \limits _{n=1}^{N}{\mu _{n}}-\left(\sum \limits _{n=1}^{N}{x_{n}\log \left(\lambda _{n}\right)}\right)-\left(\sum \limits _{n=1}^{N}{y_{n}\log \left(\mu _{n}\right)}\right)+\sum \limits _{n=1}^{N}{\log \left(x_{n}!\right)}+\sum \limits _{n=1}^{N}{\log \left(y_{n}!\right)}\\\end{aligned}}}
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Likewise, derby matches are often physical affairs that are hard to predict, as the importance of the occasion tends to cancel out the differences between the teams. This makes forecasting all the more difficult, and it is better to avoid betting on these types of matches in general.
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So bookmark the OddsShark NFL computer picks page. We will update it weekly and we’ll write articles describing how well or poorly it performed in the preceding week. Good luck.
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